Mexico is most likely on this pitch.
31% of our simulations put Mexico into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
Hold the seat.
31% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #99Quarter-finalUnited States
Who arrives in Miami Gardens?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Match 91 versus Winner Match 92 — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Sat, July 11 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 65,326
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 689 min agoMexico
31.5%Group A
Mexico: 31.5 percent probability. Group ABrazil
27.3%Group C
Brazil: 27.3 percent probability. Group CEngland
25.5%Group L
England: 25.5 percent probability. Group LScotland
17.2%Group C
Scotland: 17.2 percent probability. Group C4 other teams42.5%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 42.5 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
42.5%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 42.5 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandNetherlands
13.0%Group F
Netherlands: 13.0 percent probability. Group FMorocco
12.2%Group C
Morocco: 12.2 percent probability. Group CEcuador
8.9%Group E
Ecuador: 8.9 percent probability. Group ESouth Korea
8.5%Group A
South Korea: 8.5 percent probability. Group AMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
Brazil – Mexico1-013.7%
2-011.7%
1-110.7%
2-18.8%
3-08.2%
22% of simulations send this one to penalties