United States is most likely on this pitch.
39% of our simulations put United States into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
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39% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #98Quarter-finalUnited States
Who arrives in Inglewood?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Match 93 versus Winner Match 94 — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Fri, July 10 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 70,240
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 685 min agoUnited States
39.0%Group D
United States: 39.0 percent probability. Group DBelgium
25.5%Group G
Belgium: 25.5 percent probability. Group GPortugal
24.7%Group K
Portugal: 24.7 percent probability. Group KSpain
22.0%Group H
Spain: 22.0 percent probability. Group H4 other teams43.7%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 43.7 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
43.7%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 43.7 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandColombia
18.7%Group K
Colombia: 18.7 percent probability. Group KUruguay
11.2%Group H
Uruguay: 11.2 percent probability. Group HCroatia
7.0%Group L
Croatia: 7.0 percent probability. Group LAustralia
6.9%Group D
Australia: 6.9 percent probability. Group DMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
Portugal – United States1-015.4%
2-015.0%
3-09.5%
1-19.0%
2-18.4%
20% of simulations send this one to penalties