Germany is most likely on this pitch.
52% of our simulations put Germany into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
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52% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #97Quarter-finalUnited States
Who arrives in Foxborough?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Match 89 versus Winner Match 90 — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Thu, July 9 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 65,878
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 683 min agoGermany
51.8%Group E
Germany: 51.8 percent probability. Group EFrance
23.0%Group I
France: 23.0 percent probability. Group ISouth Korea
19.0%Group A
South Korea: 19.0 percent probability. Group ANetherlands
18.2%Group F
Netherlands: 18.2 percent probability. Group F4 other teams41.1%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 41.1 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
41.1%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 41.1 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandBrazil
12.6%Group C
Brazil: 12.6 percent probability. Group CMexico
11.5%Group A
Mexico: 11.5 percent probability. Group ACzechia
10.3%Group A
Czechia: 10.3 percent probability. Group AJapan
6.8%Group F
Japan: 6.8 percent probability. Group FMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
Germany – Netherlands1-016.1%
2-014.5%
3-09.9%
1-18.9%
0-07.7%
19% of simulations send this one to penalties