Match #96Round of 16Canada

Who arrives in Vancouver?

The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Match 85 versus Winner Match 87 — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.

Tue, July 7 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 54,500

Who will play here

5,000 sims · 686 min ago
Switzerland
51.5%

Group B

Switzerland: 51.5 percent probability. Group B
Portugal
44.0%

Group K

Portugal: 44.0 percent probability. Group K
Colombia
36.8%

Group K

Colombia: 36.8 percent probability. Group K
Canada
12.2%

Group B

Canada: 12.2 percent probability. Group B
4 other teams
16.9%

The rest of the field — click to expand

4 other teams: 16.9 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
Bosnia-Herzegovina
5.1%

Group B

Bosnia-Herzegovina: 5.1 percent probability. Group B
Iran
4.5%

Group G

Iran: 4.5 percent probability. Group G
Croatia
4.3%

Group L

Croatia: 4.3 percent probability. Group L
England
3.0%

Group L

England: 3.0 percent probability. Group L

Most likely matchups

Top 5 pairings
SwitzerlandvsPortugal
22.4%
SwitzerlandvsColombia
19.3%
CanadavsPortugal
5.5%
CanadavsColombia
4.2%
SwitzerlandvsCroatia
2.3%

Most likely scorelines

SwitzerlandPortugal
1-111.7%
1-011.1%
0-19.1%
2-18.9%
2-08.4%

25% of simulations send this one to penalties

The decision

Switzerland is most likely on this pitch.

52% of our simulations put Switzerland into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.

Book the flight.
52% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP