Argentina is most likely on this pitch.
67% of our simulations put Argentina into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
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67% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #95Round of 16United States
Who arrives in Atlanta?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Match 86 versus Winner Match 88 — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Tue, July 7 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 71,000
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 684 min agoArgentina
66.8%Group J
Argentina: 66.8 percent probability. Group JAustralia
27.9%Group D
Australia: 27.9 percent probability. Group DTürkiye
22.8%Group D
Türkiye: 22.8 percent probability. Group DUnited States
12.1%Group D
United States: 12.1 percent probability. Group D4 other teams40.3%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 40.3 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
40.3%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 40.3 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandSpain
11.7%Group H
Spain: 11.7 percent probability. Group HIran
9.6%Group G
Iran: 9.6 percent probability. Group GBelgium
9.5%Group G
Belgium: 9.5 percent probability. Group GUruguay
9.4%Group H
Uruguay: 9.4 percent probability. Group HMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
Argentina – Australia2-017.3%
1-015.8%
3-013.4%
4-08.0%
0-07.7%
16% of simulations send this one to penalties