Belgium is most likely on this pitch.
58% of our simulations put Belgium into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
Book the flight.
58% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #94Round of 16United States
Who arrives in Seattle?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Match 81 versus Winner Match 82 — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Mon, July 6 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 68,740
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 687 min agoBelgium
58.3%Group G
Belgium: 58.3 percent probability. Group GUnited States
58.0%Group D
United States: 58.0 percent probability. Group DAustralia
11.1%Group D
Australia: 11.1 percent probability. Group DIran
8.6%Group G
Iran: 8.6 percent probability. Group G4 other teams22.8%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 22.8 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
22.8%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 22.8 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandTürkiye
7.3%Group D
Türkiye: 7.3 percent probability. Group DEgypt
6.8%Group G
Egypt: 6.8 percent probability. Group GNew Zealand
5.3%Group G
New Zealand: 5.3 percent probability. Group GAustria
3.5%Group J
Austria: 3.5 percent probability. Group JMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
United States – Belgium1-012.9%
1-111.4%
2-010.9%
2-19.0%
0-07.9%
24% of simulations send this one to penalties