Spain is most likely on this pitch.
49% of our simulations put Spain into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
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49% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #93Round of 16United States
Who arrives in Arlington?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Match 83 versus Winner Match 84 — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Mon, July 6 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 80,000
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 688 min agoSpain
48.7%Group H
Spain: 48.7 percent probability. Group HPortugal
33.9%Group K
Portugal: 33.9 percent probability. Group KUruguay
32.6%Group H
Uruguay: 32.6 percent probability. Group HColombia
28.9%Group K
Colombia: 28.9 percent probability. Group K4 other teams33.5%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 33.5 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
33.5%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 33.5 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandCroatia
11.6%Group L
Croatia: 11.6 percent probability. Group LEngland
8.5%Group L
England: 8.5 percent probability. Group LUzbekistan
7.4%Group K
Uzbekistan: 7.4 percent probability. Group KArgentina
6.0%Group J
Argentina: 6.0 percent probability. Group JMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
Portugal – Spain1-011.8%
1-111.3%
2-010.4%
2-18.6%
0-07.9%
24% of simulations send this one to penalties