Match #90Round of 16United States

Who arrives in Houston?

The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Match 73 versus Winner Match 75 — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.

Sat, July 4 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 72,220

Who will play here

5,000 sims · 685 min ago
Netherlands
33.4%

Group F

Netherlands: 33.4 percent probability. Group F
South Korea
29.6%

Group A

South Korea: 29.6 percent probability. Group A
Czechia
20.1%

Group A

Czechia: 20.1 percent probability. Group A
Mexico
17.8%

Group A

Mexico: 17.8 percent probability. Group A
4 other teams
54.6%

The rest of the field — click to expand

4 other teams: 54.6 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
Brazil
17.1%

Group C

Brazil: 17.1 percent probability. Group C
Japan
16.7%

Group F

Japan: 16.7 percent probability. Group F
Sweden
10.5%

Group F

Sweden: 10.5 percent probability. Group F
Morocco
10.3%

Group C

Morocco: 10.3 percent probability. Group C

Most likely matchups

Top 5 pairings
South KoreavsNetherlands
10.3%
CzechiavsNetherlands
6.7%
MexicovsNetherlands
5.4%
South KoreavsBrazil
5.3%
South KoreavsJapan
4.9%

Most likely scorelines

South KoreaNetherlands
1-111.6%
1-011.2%
2-09.2%
2-18.9%
0-18.6%

25% of simulations send this one to penalties

The decision

Netherlands is most likely on this pitch.

33% of our simulations put Netherlands into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.

Hold the seat.
33% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP