Match #89Round of 16United States

Who arrives in Philadelphia?

The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Match 74 versus Winner Match 77 — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.

Sat, July 4 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 69,596

Who will play here

5,000 sims · 1118 min ago
France
100.0%

Group I

France: 100.0 percent probability. Group I
Germany
93.0%

Group E

Germany: 93.0 percent probability. Group E
Bosnia-Herzegovina
7.0%

Group B

Bosnia-Herzegovina: 7.0 percent probability. Group B

Most likely matchups

Top 2 pairings
GermanyvsFrance
93.0%
Bosnia-HerzegovinavsFrance
7.0%

Most likely scorelines

GermanyFrance
1-112.1%
1-011.9%
2-19.6%
2-08.7%
0-08.2%

25% of simulations send this one to penalties

The decision

France is most likely on this pitch.

100% of our simulations put France into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.

Book the flight.
100% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP