Germany is most likely on this pitch.
72% of our simulations put Germany into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
Book the flight.
72% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #89Round of 16United States
Who arrives in Philadelphia?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Match 74 versus Winner Match 77 — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Sat, July 4 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 69,596
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 683 min agoGermany
71.8%Group E
Germany: 71.8 percent probability. Group EFrance
55.9%Group I
France: 55.9 percent probability. Group INorway
20.3%Group I
Norway: 20.3 percent probability. Group IIvory Coast
8.3%Group E
Ivory Coast: 8.3 percent probability. Group E4 other teams21.4%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 21.4 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
21.4%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 21.4 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandEcuador
5.8%Group E
Ecuador: 5.8 percent probability. Group EBrazil
5.4%Group C
Brazil: 5.4 percent probability. Group CSenegal
5.1%Group I
Senegal: 5.1 percent probability. Group IMorocco
5.0%Group C
Morocco: 5.0 percent probability. Group CMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
Germany – France1-013.1%
2-011.6%
1-110.1%
2-19.2%
0-08.5%
23% of simulations send this one to penalties