Portugal is most likely on this pitch.
50% of our simulations put Portugal into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
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50% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #87Round of 32United States
Who arrives in Kansas City?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Group K versus 3rd Group D/E/I/J/L — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Fri, July 3 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 76,416
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 613 min agoPortugal
50.5%Group K
Portugal: 50.5 percent probability. Group KColombia
44.3%Group K
Colombia: 44.3 percent probability. Group KGhana
21.3%Group L
Ghana: 21.3 percent probability. Group LCroatia
17.3%Group L
Croatia: 17.3 percent probability. Group L4 other teams41.2%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 41.2 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
41.2%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 41.2 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandPanama
16.2%Group L
Panama: 16.2 percent probability. Group LAustralia
8.7%Group D
Australia: 8.7 percent probability. Group DTürkiye
8.3%Group D
Türkiye: 8.3 percent probability. Group DEngland
8.1%Group L
England: 8.1 percent probability. Group LMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
Portugal – Ghana2-016.9%
1-016.4%
3-09.6%
2-18.4%
1-18.3%
19% of simulations send this one to penalties