Argentina is most likely on this pitch.
79% of our simulations put Argentina into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
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79% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #86Round of 32United States
Who arrives in Miami Gardens?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Group J versus Runner-up Group H — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Fri, July 3 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 65,326
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 684 min agoArgentina
79.0%Group J
Argentina: 79.0 percent probability. Group JUruguay
40.7%Group H
Uruguay: 40.7 percent probability. Group HSpain
36.3%Group H
Spain: 36.3 percent probability. Group HSaudi Arabia
14.7%Group H
Saudi Arabia: 14.7 percent probability. Group H4 other teams29.2%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 29.2 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
29.2%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 29.2 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandCape Verde
8.2%Group H
Cape Verde: 8.2 percent probability. Group HAlgeria
7.2%Group J
Algeria: 7.2 percent probability. Group JJordan
7.2%Group J
Jordan: 7.2 percent probability. Group JAustria
6.5%Group J
Austria: 6.5 percent probability. Group JMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
Argentina – Uruguay1-015.0%
2-014.9%
3-09.5%
1-19.4%
0-07.7%
20% of simulations send this one to penalties