Match #85Round of 32Canada

Who arrives in Vancouver?

The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Group B versus 3rd Group E/F/G/I/J — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.

Thu, July 2 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 54,500

Who will play here

5,000 sims · 684 min ago
Switzerland
68.4%

Group B

Switzerland: 68.4 percent probability. Group B
Canada
17.1%

Group B

Canada: 17.1 percent probability. Group B
Iran
15.5%

Group G

Iran: 15.5 percent probability. Group G
New Zealand
12.0%

Group G

New Zealand: 12.0 percent probability. Group G
4 other teams
38.4%

The rest of the field — click to expand

4 other teams: 38.4 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
Egypt
11.9%

Group G

Egypt: 11.9 percent probability. Group G
Bosnia-Herzegovina
9.9%

Group B

Bosnia-Herzegovina: 9.9 percent probability. Group B
Sweden
9.9%

Group F

Sweden: 9.9 percent probability. Group F
Austria
6.7%

Group J

Austria: 6.7 percent probability. Group J

Most likely matchups

Top 5 pairings
SwitzerlandvsIran
10.8%
SwitzerlandvsNew Zealand
8.2%
SwitzerlandvsEgypt
8.1%
SwitzerlandvsSweden
6.7%
SwitzerlandvsAustria
4.7%

Most likely scorelines

SwitzerlandIran
1-014.1%
2-011.9%
1-110.8%
2-19.4%
0-08.4%

23% of simulations send this one to penalties

The decision

Switzerland is most likely on this pitch.

68% of our simulations put Switzerland into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.

Book the flight.
68% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP