Spain is most likely on this pitch.
55% of our simulations put Spain into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
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55% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #84Round of 32United States
Who arrives in Inglewood?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Group H versus Runner-up Group J — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Thu, July 2 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 70,240
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 686 min agoSpain
55.2%Group H
Spain: 55.2 percent probability. Group HUruguay
39.5%Group H
Uruguay: 39.5 percent probability. Group HAustria
31.9%Group J
Austria: 31.9 percent probability. Group JAlgeria
31.2%Group J
Algeria: 31.2 percent probability. Group J4 other teams42.2%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 42.2 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
42.2%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 42.2 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandJordan
22.5%Group J
Jordan: 22.5 percent probability. Group JArgentina
14.4%Group J
Argentina: 14.4 percent probability. Group JSaudi Arabia
3.9%Group H
Saudi Arabia: 3.9 percent probability. Group HCape Verde
1.4%Group H
Cape Verde: 1.4 percent probability. Group HMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
Spain – Algeria2-016.9%
1-015.6%
3-011.6%
0-07.7%
2-17.4%
17% of simulations send this one to penalties