Portugal is most likely on this pitch.
40% of our simulations put Portugal into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
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40% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #83Round of 32Canada
Who arrives in Toronto?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Runner-up Group K versus Runner-up Group L — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Thu, July 2 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 45,500
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 683 min agoPortugal
40.3%Group K
Portugal: 40.3 percent probability. Group KCroatia
38.7%Group L
Croatia: 38.7 percent probability. Group LColombia
37.0%Group K
Colombia: 37.0 percent probability. Group KEngland
22.7%Group L
England: 22.7 percent probability. Group L4 other teams61.4%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 61.4 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
61.4%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 61.4 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandPanama
22.6%Group L
Panama: 22.6 percent probability. Group LGhana
16.0%Group L
Ghana: 16.0 percent probability. Group LUzbekistan
13.2%Group K
Uzbekistan: 13.2 percent probability. Group KDR Congo
9.6%Group K
DR Congo: 9.6 percent probability. Group KMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
Portugal – Croatia1-014.6%
2-013.7%
1-19.3%
2-18.6%
3-08.1%
21% of simulations send this one to penalties