United States is most likely on this pitch.
73% of our simulations put United States into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
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73% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #81Round of 32United States
Who arrives in Santa Clara?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Group D versus 3rd Group B/E/F/I/J — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Wed, July 1 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 68,500
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 689 min agoUnited States
73.0%Group D
United States: 73.0 percent probability. Group DBosnia-Herzegovina
15.7%Group B
Bosnia-Herzegovina: 15.7 percent probability. Group BAustralia
15.2%Group D
Australia: 15.2 percent probability. Group DCanada
12.1%Group B
Canada: 12.1 percent probability. Group B4 other teams33.4%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 33.4 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
33.4%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 33.4 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandTürkiye
10.3%Group D
Türkiye: 10.3 percent probability. Group DSweden
8.8%Group F
Sweden: 8.8 percent probability. Group FQatar
8.4%Group B
Qatar: 8.4 percent probability. Group BTunisia
5.8%Group F
Tunisia: 5.8 percent probability. Group FMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
United States – Bosnia-Herzegovina1-014.7%
2-014.6%
1-19.3%
2-18.9%
3-08.6%
20% of simulations send this one to penalties