England is most likely on this pitch.
64% of our simulations put England into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
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64% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #80Round of 32United States
Who arrives in Atlanta?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Group L versus 3rd Group E/H/I/J/K — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Wed, July 1 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 71,000
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 684 min agoEngland
64.0%Group L
England: 64.0 percent probability. Group LCroatia
20.8%Group L
Croatia: 20.8 percent probability. Group LDR Congo
19.5%Group K
DR Congo: 19.5 percent probability. Group KUzbekistan
18.0%Group K
Uzbekistan: 18.0 percent probability. Group K4 other teams43.1%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 43.1 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
43.1%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 43.1 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandIvory Coast
11.2%Group E
Ivory Coast: 11.2 percent probability. Group EEcuador
10.8%Group E
Ecuador: 10.8 percent probability. Group EPanama
10.6%Group L
Panama: 10.6 percent probability. Group LColombia
10.4%Group K
Colombia: 10.4 percent probability. Group KMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
England – DR Congo2-016.0%
1-015.4%
3-011.3%
1-18.2%
2-17.7%
19% of simulations send this one to penalties