Mexico is most likely on this pitch.
63% of our simulations put Mexico into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
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63% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #79Round of 32Mexico
Who arrives in Mexico City?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Group A versus 3rd Group C/E/F/H/I — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Tue, June 30 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 87,523
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 684 min agoMexico
63.3%Group A
Mexico: 63.3 percent probability. Group ASouth Korea
20.8%Group A
South Korea: 20.8 percent probability. Group ACzechia
14.1%Group A
Czechia: 14.1 percent probability. Group AMorocco
11.4%Group C
Morocco: 11.4 percent probability. Group C4 other teams31.9%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 31.9 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
31.9%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 31.9 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandSweden
8.5%Group F
Sweden: 8.5 percent probability. Group FIvory Coast
8.0%Group E
Ivory Coast: 8.0 percent probability. Group ESenegal
7.8%Group I
Senegal: 7.8 percent probability. Group IBrazil
7.6%Group C
Brazil: 7.6 percent probability. Group CMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
Mexico – Morocco1-014.1%
2-012.8%
1-110.0%
2-19.7%
0-07.9%
22% of simulations send this one to penalties