France is most likely on this pitch.
63% of our simulations put France into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
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63% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #77Round of 32United States
Who arrives in East Rutherford?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Group I versus 3rd Group C/D/F/G/H — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Tue, June 30 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 82,500
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 686 min agoFrance
63.2%Group I
France: 63.2 percent probability. Group INorway
27.8%Group I
Norway: 27.8 percent probability. Group IMorocco
16.0%Group C
Morocco: 16.0 percent probability. Group CScotland
11.0%Group C
Scotland: 11.0 percent probability. Group C4 other teams39.4%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 39.4 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
39.4%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 39.4 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandAustralia
11.0%Group D
Australia: 11.0 percent probability. Group DTürkiye
10.6%Group D
Türkiye: 10.6 percent probability. Group DBrazil
10.5%Group C
Brazil: 10.5 percent probability. Group CSenegal
7.3%Group I
Senegal: 7.3 percent probability. Group IMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
France – Morocco2-015.7%
1-015.4%
3-011.0%
1-18.2%
0-07.8%
19% of simulations send this one to penalties