Scotland is most likely on this pitch.
45% of our simulations put Scotland into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
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45% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #76Round of 32United States
Who arrives in Houston?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Group C versus Runner-up Group F — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Mon, June 29 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 72,220
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 684 min agoScotland
45.0%Group C
Scotland: 45.0 percent probability. Group CJapan
36.2%Group F
Japan: 36.2 percent probability. Group FBrazil
34.5%Group C
Brazil: 34.5 percent probability. Group CNetherlands
33.6%Group F
Netherlands: 33.6 percent probability. Group F4 other teams50.6%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 50.6 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
50.6%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 50.6 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandSweden
23.9%Group F
Sweden: 23.9 percent probability. Group FMorocco
20.4%Group C
Morocco: 20.4 percent probability. Group CTunisia
6.3%Group F
Tunisia: 6.3 percent probability. Group FHaiti
0.0%Group C
Haiti: 0.0 percent probability. Group CMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
Scotland – Japan1-013.7%
2-011.6%
1-110.9%
2-19.1%
0-07.3%
22% of simulations send this one to penalties