Netherlands is most likely on this pitch.
43% of our simulations put Netherlands into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
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43% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #75Round of 32Mexico
Who arrives in Guadalupe?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Group F versus Runner-up Group C — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Mon, June 29 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 53,500
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 685 min agoNetherlands
43.1%Group F
Netherlands: 43.1 percent probability. Group FBrazil
37.3%Group C
Brazil: 37.3 percent probability. Group CMorocco
35.1%Group C
Morocco: 35.1 percent probability. Group CScotland
27.0%Group C
Scotland: 27.0 percent probability. Group C4 other teams57.5%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 57.5 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
57.5%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 57.5 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandJapan
26.2%Group F
Japan: 26.2 percent probability. Group FSweden
18.3%Group F
Sweden: 18.3 percent probability. Group FTunisia
12.5%Group F
Tunisia: 12.5 percent probability. Group FHaiti
0.6%Group C
Haiti: 0.6 percent probability. Group CMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
Netherlands – Brazil1-013.1%
2-011.9%
1-110.8%
2-18.7%
0-07.5%
22% of simulations send this one to penalties