Match #74Round of 32United States

Who arrives in Foxborough?

The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Group E versus 3rd Group A/B/C/D/F — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.

Mon, June 29 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 65,878

Who will play here

5,000 sims · 685 min ago
Germany
81.2%

Group E

Germany: 81.2 percent probability. Group E
Czechia
12.9%

Group A

Czechia: 12.9 percent probability. Group A
South Korea
12.8%

Group A

South Korea: 12.8 percent probability. Group A
Ivory Coast
11.3%

Group E

Ivory Coast: 11.3 percent probability. Group E
4 other teams
31.3%

The rest of the field — click to expand

4 other teams: 31.3 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
Bosnia-Herzegovina
8.8%

Group B

Bosnia-Herzegovina: 8.8 percent probability. Group B
Australia
7.6%

Group D

Australia: 7.6 percent probability. Group D
Canada
7.5%

Group B

Canada: 7.5 percent probability. Group B
Ecuador
7.4%

Group E

Ecuador: 7.4 percent probability. Group E

Most likely matchups

Top 5 pairings
GermanyvsCzechia
10.5%
GermanyvsSouth Korea
10.4%
GermanyvsBosnia-Herzegovina
6.9%
GermanyvsTürkiye
6.3%
GermanyvsAustralia
6.1%

Most likely scorelines

GermanyCzechia
2-016.4%
1-016.3%
3-011.5%
0-07.9%
2-17.8%

18% of simulations send this one to penalties

The decision

Germany is most likely on this pitch.

81% of our simulations put Germany into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.

Book the flight.
81% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP