England is most likely on this pitch.
60% of our simulations put England into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
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60% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #104FinalUnited States
Who arrives in East Rutherford?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Match 101 versus Winner Match 102 — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Sun, July 19 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 82,500
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 1061 min agoEngland
60.0%Group L
England: 60.0 percent probability. Group LArgentina
37.8%Group J
Argentina: 37.8 percent probability. Group JSpain
35.6%Group H
Spain: 35.6 percent probability. Group HGermany
27.8%Group E
Germany: 27.8 percent probability. Group E4 other teams37.0%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 37.0 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
37.0%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 37.0 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandFrance
24.5%Group I
France: 24.5 percent probability. Group IMorocco
8.7%Group C
Morocco: 8.7 percent probability. Group CBelgium
2.1%Group G
Belgium: 2.1 percent probability. Group GColombia
1.7%Group K
Colombia: 1.7 percent probability. Group KMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
Spain – England1-013.0%
1-110.7%
2-010.6%
2-19.1%
0-08.2%
24% of simulations send this one to penalties