Germany is most likely on this pitch.
33% of our simulations put Germany into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
Hold the seat.
33% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #104FinalUnited States
Who arrives in East Rutherford?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Match 101 versus Winner Match 102 — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Sun, July 19 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 82,500
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 616 min agoGermany
32.8%Group E
Germany: 32.8 percent probability. Group EArgentina
29.4%Group J
Argentina: 29.4 percent probability. Group JBrazil
19.6%Group C
Brazil: 19.6 percent probability. Group CFrance
19.3%Group I
France: 19.3 percent probability. Group I4 other teams41.4%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 41.4 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
41.4%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 41.4 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandSpain
12.6%Group H
Spain: 12.6 percent probability. Group HNetherlands
10.8%Group F
Netherlands: 10.8 percent probability. Group FPortugal
9.9%Group K
Portugal: 9.9 percent probability. Group KEngland
8.1%Group L
England: 8.1 percent probability. Group LMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
Germany – Argentina1-014.2%
2-011.3%
1-110.8%
2-18.4%
0-07.3%
23% of simulations send this one to penalties