Argentina is most likely on this pitch.
52% of our simulations put Argentina into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
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52% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #103Third-place play-offUnited States
Who arrives in Miami Gardens?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Loser Match 101 versus Loser Match 102 — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Sat, July 18 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 65,326
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 1121 min agoArgentina
52.1%Group J
Argentina: 52.1 percent probability. Group JSpain
50.8%Group H
Spain: 50.8 percent probability. Group HEngland
40.0%Group L
England: 40.0 percent probability. Group LGermany
18.1%Group E
Germany: 18.1 percent probability. Group E4 other teams30.0%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 30.0 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
30.0%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 30.0 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandFrance
10.5%Group I
France: 10.5 percent probability. Group IMorocco
9.4%Group C
Morocco: 9.4 percent probability. Group CBelgium
5.8%Group G
Belgium: 5.8 percent probability. Group GColombia
4.4%Group K
Colombia: 4.4 percent probability. Group KMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
Spain – Argentina1-011.9%
1-111.8%
2-010.3%
2-19.0%
0-07.6%
24% of simulations send this one to penalties