Argentina is most likely on this pitch.
30% of our simulations put Argentina into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
Hold the seat.
30% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #103Third-place play-offUnited States
Who arrives in Miami Gardens?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Loser Match 101 versus Loser Match 102 — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Sat, July 18 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 65,326
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 686 min agoArgentina
29.6%Group J
Argentina: 29.6 percent probability. Group JPortugal
17.3%Group K
Portugal: 17.3 percent probability. Group KSpain
15.7%Group H
Spain: 15.7 percent probability. Group HColombia
12.9%Group K
Colombia: 12.9 percent probability. Group K4 other teams38.4%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 38.4 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
38.4%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 38.4 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandGermany
12.6%Group E
Germany: 12.6 percent probability. Group EUruguay
10.3%Group H
Uruguay: 10.3 percent probability. Group HBrazil
8.2%Group C
Brazil: 8.2 percent probability. Group CEngland
7.3%Group L
England: 7.3 percent probability. Group LMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
Portugal – Argentina1-012.1%
2-012.1%
1-110.7%
2-18.3%
0-07.6%
23% of simulations send this one to penalties