Match #102Semi-finalUnited States

Who arrives in Atlanta?

The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Match 99 versus Winner Match 100 — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.

Wed, July 15 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 71,000

Who will play here

5,000 sims · 1122 min ago
England
100.0%

Group L

England: 100.0 percent probability. Group L
Argentina
89.9%

Group J

Argentina: 89.9 percent probability. Group J
Colombia
6.1%

Group K

Colombia: 6.1 percent probability. Group K
Switzerland
3.4%

Group B

Switzerland: 3.4 percent probability. Group B
1 other teams
0.6%

The rest of the field — click to expand

1 other teams: 0.6 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
Sweden
0.6%

Group F

Sweden: 0.6 percent probability. Group F

Most likely matchups

Top 4 pairings
EnglandvsArgentina
89.9%
EnglandvsColombia
6.1%
EnglandvsSwitzerland
3.4%
EnglandvsSweden
0.6%

Most likely scorelines

EnglandArgentina
1-112.3%
1-011.6%
2-19.4%
2-08.7%
0-07.8%

26% of simulations send this one to penalties

The decision

England is most likely on this pitch.

100% of our simulations put England into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.

Book the flight.
100% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP