Argentina is most likely on this pitch.
56% of our simulations put Argentina into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
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56% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #102Semi-finalUnited States
Who arrives in Atlanta?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Match 99 versus Winner Match 100 — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Wed, July 15 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 71,000
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 687 min agoArgentina
55.6%Group J
Argentina: 55.6 percent probability. Group JBrazil
21.6%Group C
Brazil: 21.6 percent probability. Group CEngland
11.0%Group L
England: 11.0 percent probability. Group LNetherlands
10.0%Group F
Netherlands: 10.0 percent probability. Group F4 other teams33.1%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 33.1 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
33.1%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 33.1 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandScotland
9.3%Group C
Scotland: 9.3 percent probability. Group CSpain
9.2%Group H
Spain: 9.2 percent probability. Group HMorocco
7.5%Group C
Morocco: 7.5 percent probability. Group CPortugal
7.2%Group K
Portugal: 7.2 percent probability. Group KMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
Brazil – Argentina1-111.7%
1-011.5%
2-09.3%
0-18.2%
2-18.2%
25% of simulations send this one to penalties