Argentina is most likely on this pitch.
63% of our simulations put Argentina into this match. The bracket re-prices as real results land — check back after each matchday.
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63% confidenceTrace · Phoenix MCP
Match #100Quarter-finalUnited States
Who arrives in Kansas City?
The match is locked in, but the participants aren't. This slot reads Winner Match 95 versus Winner Match 96 — and Rootin4 has been simulating the rest of the tournament to translate that riddle into probabilities.
Sat, July 11 · 18:00 local (est.) · capacity 76,416
Who will play here
5,000 sims · 686 min agoArgentina
62.6%Group J
Argentina: 62.6 percent probability. Group JSwitzerland
28.7%Group B
Switzerland: 28.7 percent probability. Group BPortugal
22.8%Group K
Portugal: 22.8 percent probability. Group KColombia
17.0%Group K
Colombia: 17.0 percent probability. Group K4 other teams29.0%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 29.0 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams
29.0%The rest of the field — click to expand
4 other teams: 29.0 percent probability. The rest of the field — click to expandSpain
10.7%Group H
Spain: 10.7 percent probability. Group HUruguay
8.1%Group H
Uruguay: 8.1 percent probability. Group HCanada
6.4%Group B
Canada: 6.4 percent probability. Group BAustralia
3.9%Group D
Australia: 3.9 percent probability. Group DMost likely matchups
Top 5 pairingsMost likely scorelines
Argentina – Switzerland1-015.8%
2-015.7%
3-010.4%
1-18.4%
2-17.5%
19% of simulations send this one to penalties